0x3c1df5d587b393d13615a0350bfd6414bc3de6dd
0x3c1df5d587b393d13615a0350bfd6414bc3de6dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$35.48
Total PnL
$-7.23
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$11.70
$0.70
- NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$4.53
$0.00
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.37
$0.00
- NO
ETH flipped in 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 11?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$269.19Nov 12, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?$3.00Nov 11, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$11.00Nov 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 11?$3.00Nov 11, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$274.26Nov 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$284.75Nov 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$287.40Nov 11, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$5.88Nov 11, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu vaccine in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$5.00Sep 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$5.00Sep 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$5.02Sep 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James be traded this offseason?$5.69Sep 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James be traded this offseason?$5.00Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$5.00Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$5.00Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$5.00Jul 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMSteak 'n Shake accepts Bitcoin before July?$0.00Jul 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? $1.03Jul 5, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $35.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.