Past-Polish
0x3c30247243526b521d8dabf40da72d4f9277d8ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$263.58
Total PnL
$-0.30
Realised
$5.18
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$14.91
$1.10
- NO
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
10 shares @ 73.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$9.55
$2.48
- NO
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?
8 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$7.86
$0.41
- NO
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.65
$0.19
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.54
$0.18
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
9 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.53
$0.47
- NO
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
9 shares @ 81.7¢·now 87.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.51
$0.46
- NO
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8 shares @ 87.9¢·now 89.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.27
$0.14
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.21
$-0.13
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
8 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.16
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$6.83Jun 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.22Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?$7.05Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.29Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.19Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$2.84Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$5.51Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$6.83Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? $7.22Jun 13, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$6.02Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?$1.83Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.94Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$5.41Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.88Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$0.09Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$0.04Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$0.10Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$0.23Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$2.65Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$5.11Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.