Perfect-Tsunami
0x3c3a3412bea4bf7c6fca58e74ee5295a51f68792
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$171.25
Total PnL
$-603.73
Realised
$-29.05
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?
41 shares @ 39.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$40.61
$24.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?
90 shares @ 63.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$32.22
$-24.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$24.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28?
17 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$10.32
$-1.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$8.92
$4.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 28?
9 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$8.77
$3.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$7.34
$1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.90
$2.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.49
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.43
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$5.02Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$5.01Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?$4.23Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 27?$2.65Jul 28, 10:36 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 27?$5.00Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$6.11Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$6.85Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$10.50Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?$70.83Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28?$11.33Jul 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.06Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.76Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$2.53Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$8.36Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$2.05Jul 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.53Jul 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$3.25Jul 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$3.25Jul 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$1.28Jul 28, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.