Wallet digest

active

Activity score

52/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.4K

Realised

$5.92

Win rate

56%

9 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 68

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
533 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-319.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
179 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-70.78
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
146 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-73.83
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
128 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-68.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
123 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-58.08
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
122 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-59.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
100 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
67 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-26.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
63 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-28.56

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$25.89May 4, 02:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$25.92May 4, 02:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00May 4, 02:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.34May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.34May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.32May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.33May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.32May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.32May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.34May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.32May 4, 02:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$17.18May 4, 02:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10.56May 4, 02:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$26.33May 4, 02:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$25.14May 4, 02:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$57.46May 4, 02:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$25.86May 4, 02:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$25.81May 4, 02:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$21.70May 4, 02:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$26.37May 4, 02:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence30 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry81 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $35.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 12, 17:54 UTC
Last active: May 4, 02:22 UTC
Win rate sample: 9 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:59:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data