Likable-Mention
0x3c3e91c3c67ee59e058f179f33193ab7424f5a86
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.91
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$-7.88
- NO
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
30 shares @ 46.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.25
$-12.55
- YES
Will Adam Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.54
$-1.56
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
7030 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of June 22 2026?
91 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
90 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
86 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-68.94
- NO
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?
56 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- NO
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$23.98Jul 25, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$24.60Jul 25, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?$0.94Jul 25, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?$0.98Jul 25, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$14.00Jul 25, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?$1.92Jul 25, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?$2.69Jul 25, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?$2.80Jul 25, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?$2.85Jul 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$23.70Jul 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$2.36Jul 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$24.30Jul 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$2.49Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$8.32Jul 25, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$10.00Jul 25, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?$44.73Jul 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?$46.55Jul 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$0.01Jul 25, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?$34.48Jul 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?$22.76Jul 25, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.