Shocking-Tailor
0x3c426e6f37c8ce161df37fd3f3dab7c0251b5180
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
157
Open notional
$68.34
Total PnL
$-111.92
Realised
$2.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
184 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.06
$1.06
- OVER
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- OVER
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.93
$0.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.84
$0.84
- YES
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 46.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$2.86Jun 30, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.52Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$2.00Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$1.49Jun 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5$1.02Jun 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Corners$1.01Jun 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Corners$1.01Jun 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5$1.01Jun 30, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.01Jun 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Corners$1.02Jun 30, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.