Grateful-Minority
0x3c4276ecde379f2ce4a5313d6bf586d7d3f729e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.54
Total PnL
$-81.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.54
$-1.20
- YES
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?
488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Democrats win four elections in Nov?
438 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Democrats win three elections in Nov?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$107.11Nov 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$72.00Nov 14, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$30.00Nov 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?$0.01Nov 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.77Nov 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$22.80Nov 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.00Nov 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$20.00Nov 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?$1.87Nov 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?$27.43Nov 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?$7.28Oct 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?$15.00Oct 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?$10.00Oct 30, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win three elections in Nov?$15.00Oct 30, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win four elections in Nov?$50.00Oct 30, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?$3.89Oct 30, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.89Oct 30, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.74Oct 29, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.00Oct 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$6.74Oct 29, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $19.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.