Likely-Lacquerware
0x3c483b2826c18b42a015640d63e764572bc4d700
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
649 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-347.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
368 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
347 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
240 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-131.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
218 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-110.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
208 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
204 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
195 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
149 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
146 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.47Jul 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.03Jul 30, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.01Jul 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$7.33Jul 30, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.05Jul 30, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.05Jul 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.08Jul 30, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$100.84Jul 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.33Jul 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.31Jul 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$32.97Jul 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$16.55Jul 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8.29Jul 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$4.15Jul 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.10Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.08Jul 25, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.35Jul 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$22.54Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.07Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$16.32Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
5/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.