0x3c4b60b7183d27e0fb21b9dd452ae4bc838a75bf
0x3c4b60b7183d27e0fb21b9dd452ae4bc838a75bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
28537 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2021$0.00
$-399.98
- YES
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
16464 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2021$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?
3068 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2021$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
2596 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
2368 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
1582 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-87.99
- YES
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021?
1574 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021?
915 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021?
774 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2020$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.