Closed-Marker
0x3c51b1421de9b70d4aae5e7e610b45f541593d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.30 on February 6?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
113 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.93
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
52 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$7.93Feb 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.33Feb 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.29Feb 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $1.30 on February 6?$0.00Feb 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.30 on February 6?$20.00Feb 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$2.92Jan 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.27Jan 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.13Jan 30, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$9.57Jan 22, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.57Jan 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$5.66Jan 15, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$12.00Jan 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Dec 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?$10.00Dec 30, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.00Dec 30, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Dec 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$10.00Dec 30, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 30, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".