Stiff-Appliance
0x3c5863232b4032de89c5ea4ce2cd4adcd4f111eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$0.80
- YES
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?
6300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-441.00
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?
2000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- PACERS
Nets vs. Pacers
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-710.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Cavaliers
900 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-216.00
- NO
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
800 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-672.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?
600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-197.97
- NO
Ethereum above $4500 on August 25?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
60 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$99.23May 21, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$30.00May 21, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$80.00May 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$28.20Apr 23, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$79.03Apr 7, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$80.00Apr 7, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$74.32Mar 8, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$90.00Mar 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$78.30Feb 10, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$100.00Feb 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$95.70Jan 15, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$55.00Jan 15, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Oilers$400.00Dec 11, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$1.0KDec 11, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Oilers$140.00Dec 9, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$440.00Dec 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$194.80Dec 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$97.50Dec 9, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$485.00Dec 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$194.00Dec 9, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $238.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".