Short-Appreciation
0x3c691d37aedce414b291d8cd43fbf0d88383f9d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-206.27
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
174 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-32.28
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
115 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-48.83
- YES
Will 7 inmates be captured by Friday?
95 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.81
- YES
Will 9 inmates be captured by Friday?
95 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will 10 inmates be captured by Friday?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 8 inmates be captured by Friday?
95 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-21.78
- YES
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
37 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.26
- 110K
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.16May 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$39.79May 18, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$2.82Apr 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$12.55Apr 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$98.46Feb 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$7.26Jan 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$6.80Jan 29, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$41.25Jan 17, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$36.64Jan 16, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$25.00Jan 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$24.70Jan 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$37.00Jan 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?$22.00Jan 9, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$19.84Jan 9, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$24.70Jan 9, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$10.00Jan 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Jan 6, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$18.74Jan 6, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$26.04Jan 6, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".