Steel-Proprietor
0x3c6e470186e40afedd03ef56d755b5e76c7d4862
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-817.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
1100 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-665.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
588 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$0.70Mar 29, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$133.33Mar 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$811.89Mar 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$100.00Jan 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$337.08Jan 1, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.5KJan 1, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$1.0KJan 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Dec 28, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Dec 28, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$322.58Dec 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$100.00Dec 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Dec 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (December 15 - 21)$20.00Dec 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $5.00Dec 11, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$10.00Dec 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 15?$1.00Dec 10, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 14?$1.00Dec 10, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 12?$1.00Dec 10, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $205.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".