Unrealistic-Assignment
0x3c81932b228a1acbf532eeeb64055aa23c588f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$675.94
Total PnL
$-137.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
58 shares @ 86.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.91
$0.91
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
42 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$40.39
$0.39
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
41 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$39.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?
40 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$39.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
40 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$39.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$38.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$25.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
26 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$24.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$9.52Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$68.72Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$25.31Jun 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$50.42Jun 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$26.41Jun 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$50.60Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$25.20Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$50.40Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$23.11Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.36Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.25Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$27.78Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$50.05Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.10Jun 13, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$51.06Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$50.00Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Penalty" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$53.46Jun 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 13, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$25.04Jun 13, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$10.06Jun 13, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $31.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.