Hot-Towel
0x3c8b472c7a7bd08d8010d9879fb5194cca689f41
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.16
Total PnL
$-251.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
194 shares @ 9.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.16
$3.58
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?
854 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $440b and $450b on December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
367 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
269 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.00
- YES
Will Trump say "DEI" or "Woke" or "Women's sports" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.08Jun 2, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.20Jun 2, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Mar 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?$99.38Mar 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$109.22Mar 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$251.18Mar 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?$100.00Mar 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$300.00Mar 4, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$199.00Feb 28, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $78.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.