Surprised-Effectiveness
0x3c8b987172eb7f5df954758af2aa0f4b0c44179d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.04
Realised
$2.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SC BRAGA
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
80 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UNDER
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- UNDER
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- UNDER
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CELTICS
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$1.08May 9, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SC Braga (-1.5)$15.57Apr 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$9.54Apr 30, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$18.71Apr 30, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$14.92Apr 29, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5$10.15Apr 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$12.34Apr 29, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$3.89Apr 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$9.19Apr 29, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$10.00Apr 29, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$10.00Apr 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$5.08Apr 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$5.08Apr 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5$5.08Apr 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-10.5)$4.97Apr 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$10.73Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$0.35Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$0.35Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$0.06Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.