Fumbling-Complex
0x3c8d59684579d5fd012d4d757e54d0e3b163ce8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-666.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2024 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Hornets
228 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-129.96
- UNDER
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
201 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-102.51
- BUCKS
Trail Blazers vs. Bucks
177 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-95.58
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
170 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- 3DMAX
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)
121 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-60.50
- YES
Will Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
115 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-57.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?
95 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-47.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?
84 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?
83 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-41.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$115.00Feb 16, 13:40 UTC
- SPLITWill Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$115.00Feb 4, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$70.00Jan 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$69.51Jan 13, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$70.00Jan 12, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$69.93Jan 10, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$100.00Jan 9, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$99.90Jan 7, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?$95.00Jan 7, 09:06 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?$95.00Jan 2, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$84.00Jan 1, 10:49 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$84.00Dec 28, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?$83.00Dec 26, 10:22 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?$83.00Dec 22, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Arkansas State (-1.5)$93.00Dec 19, 12:47 UTC
- SPLITSpread: Arkansas State (-1.5)$93.00Dec 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.03Dec 8, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.87Dec 7, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 6, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $82.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.