Radiant-Balance
0x3c8e38fec3107424b03888c16ee21c89075c90e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-684.83
Realised
$-28.42
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
236 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
168 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.37
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
72 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
71 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
66 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.92
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
57 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
52 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
45 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
41 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.12Jul 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.76Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.27Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.18Jul 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$4.26Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$4.38Jul 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$4.40Jul 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$4.38Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$4.46Jul 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$4.48Jul 21, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$4.63Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$4.57Jul 21, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$8.51Jul 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$4.54Jul 21, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$4.66Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$4.66Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$6.89Jul 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.61Jul 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$8.58Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.