Shiny-Downgrade
0x3c909eef737541a38925207f6845d8e33ee6bfca
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.88
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.02Oct 8, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$1.15Oct 8, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.79Oct 8, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.00Aug 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 30, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.00Jul 21, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Jul 15, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.