Infatuated-Multimedia
0x3c9b4b4e0c29df9717f5d56ebb3390bb6a5df74f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.42
Realised
$-7.91
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
356 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?
101 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?
101 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?
98 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?
60 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27?
40 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?
30 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 10°C on March 23?
20 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?
18 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?$0.05Mar 29, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$0.29Mar 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?$0.12Mar 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$1.31Mar 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$0.71Mar 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$0.49Mar 28, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$0.88Mar 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.30Mar 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ermedin Demirovic be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.01Mar 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$0.86Mar 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?$5.00Mar 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?$10.13Mar 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?$2.71Mar 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?$4.78Mar 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?$3.95Mar 28, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 29?$14.20Mar 28, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?$3.98Mar 28, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?$5.98Mar 28, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?$6.51Mar 28, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?$7.00Mar 28, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.