Roasted-Rainstorm
0x3ca00d4c7506cd90c3f9486e42af87832add2c0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$54.22
Total PnL
$-491.80
Realised
$5.75
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2645 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$54.22
$-0.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
1296 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$16.75Jun 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.05Jun 8, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.06Jun 8, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.25Jun 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.18Jun 6, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.09Jun 6, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.57Jun 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.06Jun 6, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.00Jun 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.17Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.14Jun 5, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.12Jun 5, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Jun 5, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$15.38Jun 5, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.12Jun 5, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.11Jun 5, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.08Jun 4, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.07Jun 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.