Jumbo-Ideal
0x3ca153826ec418bc91d8e77e1da4c6eaed1ae426
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$19.84
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- $80K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.00
$4.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-5:00AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$9.84
$4.92
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
8180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- SWIATEK
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMDEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Dresdner Eisloewen$10.00Mar 3, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in February?$11.00Mar 3, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Dresdner Eisloewen$1.80Mar 1, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$2.90Feb 21, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$10.00Feb 21, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.10Feb 20, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 20, 10AM ET$20.00Feb 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 20, 10AM ET$5.00Feb 20, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 20, 10AM ET$5.00Feb 20, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 1PM ET$10.00Feb 20, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 1PM ET$5.10Feb 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET$5.10Feb 18, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$3.18Feb 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$5.50Feb 9, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 9, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$8.63Feb 6, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $140.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".