Variable-Ritual
0x3ca392859568f054f7730fc227e0d3d3fc45c34e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-8.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 23?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$2.00Feb 23, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Feb 23, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Feb 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$2.00Feb 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 23?$1.00Feb 23, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".