0x3ca3ae8f1d1cb2bcd6489fdc3f3e2a960f8383a9
0x3ca3ae8f1d1cb2bcd6489fdc3f3e2a960f8383a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.82
Total PnL
$-8.14
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Parks vs. Selekhmeteva: Match O/U 21.5
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
4 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.64Feb 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$2.00Feb 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)$0.98Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)$1.00Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParks vs. Selekhmeteva: Match O/U 21.5$1.00Feb 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.08Feb 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.87Feb 14, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.95Feb 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.95Feb 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.32Feb 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".