Fearless-Epoch-Equivalent
0x3ca4b853746fe57b317a736000d941e9c25337a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
108
Open notional
$59.31
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
66 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$59.31
$4.31
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
83888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-83.89
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
224 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$55.00Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$11.90Jun 10, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$10.11Jun 10, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$13.16Jun 10, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$10.17Jun 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$19.36Jun 10, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$19.35Jun 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$18.09Jun 10, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$17.20Jun 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$16.08Jun 10, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$16.85Jun 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$15.12Jun 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$15.34Jun 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$20.58Jun 10, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.27Jun 10, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$10.05Jun 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.18Jun 10, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.22Jun 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.84Jun 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$20.43Jun 10, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $20.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.