Jaded-Yang
0x3ca5516cf3f8dd1853e63e9e266ea745471bf95d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$5.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
11837 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-28.98
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
5282 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-46.29
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
2755 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-52.07
- YES
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump in jail before inauguration?
2105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.15
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
1633 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-216.39
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
1525 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
1368 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
AfD banned before German election?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?$8.94Mar 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?$8.93Mar 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?$250.17Mar 10, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$250.18Mar 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$5.41Mar 8, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$5.41Mar 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$49.28Mar 8, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?$49.28Mar 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$105.68Mar 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$105.68Mar 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$12.07Mar 8, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine lowers conscription age before May 9?$12.07Mar 8, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$134.50Feb 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$20.00Feb 24, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$154.51Feb 24, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$26.30Feb 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$26.30Feb 14, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$58.65Feb 14, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany declare a state of emergency in February?$5.00Feb 14, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $50.00Feb 14, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $60.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".