Neglected-Skean
0x3ca5ae3cffd2068b6ee09da6eb2d9aabb408a03a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-64.63
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?
1058 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.1K
$1.59
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21?
6537 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 5?
5332 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 11?
4080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 18?
1082 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?
1076 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 24?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?$1.1KMay 15, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$1.1KMay 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$1.1KMay 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 13?$1.1KMay 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 13?$1.1KMay 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$0.01May 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$2.15May 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 8?$2.13May 8, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?$3.23May 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?$2.15May 2, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 28?$2.12Apr 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?$2.13Apr 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 on April 18?$1.05Apr 19, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 12?$2.14Apr 12, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 6?$0.01Apr 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 6?$2.13Apr 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.30Apr 5, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$2.13Mar 31, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 24?$2.15Mar 24, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 17?$1.1KMar 18, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $604.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".