Somber-Half
0x3cace428fdafb23842bc4fdb02c21a36e2fd5ca4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?
567 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 31?
288 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on December 31?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 10?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 6?
277 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 7?
277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 10?
276 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 9?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$71.70Jul 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$0.11Jul 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$0.09Jul 2, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$70.07Jul 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 1?$1.87Jun 30, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$71.82May 31, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$3.35May 31, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$69.45May 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$1.39May 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$3.16May 24, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$89.03May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$87.16May 20, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$1.66May 17, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 21?$92.94May 7, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - March 24, 5AM ET$1.51Mar 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.46Mar 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 21?$89.50Mar 21, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 17?$2.29Mar 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$43.26Feb 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$43.26Feb 27, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.