Mad-Premise
0x3cae55d88390c57667ea306368b37a05e22ee877
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$21.05
Total PnL
$-15.15
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 2?
26 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.35
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 30?
34 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.25
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.24
$0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 30?
18 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.86
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.72
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
9 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.66
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.98
$0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 30?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.77
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 30?
50 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.07
$-3.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?
45 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.07
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 30?$3.085m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 30?$3.055m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 30?$2.585m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 30?$0.456m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?$2.656m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?$0.5822m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?$1.0722m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?$0.5222m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?$0.6723m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$2.3233m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?$1.3834m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?$2.4534m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$2.671h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 2?$2.732h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 30?$2.652h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?$0.712h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?$1.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?$1.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?$2.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?$2.593h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 5m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".