Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 73

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
300 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-158.65
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
300 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-141.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
300 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-159.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
300 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-159.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
240 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-125.63
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
240 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-127.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
240 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-106.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
240 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-127.20
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
240 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-127.19
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
240 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-124.07

Recent activity

REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$186.00Dec 16, 02:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$186.00Dec 16, 02:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$71.34Dec 15, 17:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.65Dec 15, 17:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.48Dec 15, 17:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$19.46Dec 15, 17:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.65Dec 15, 17:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$89.77Dec 15, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$87.56Dec 15, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$80.79Dec 15, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$106.64Dec 15, 02:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$7.72Dec 15, 01:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$119.48Dec 15, 01:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$15.73Dec 14, 22:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$84.86Dec 14, 22:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$17.48Dec 14, 22:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.01Dec 14, 22:30 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$240.00Dec 14, 16:10 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$240.00Dec 14, 16:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$239.99Dec 14, 16:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry88 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $36.54
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 14, 00:45 UTC
Last active: Dec 16, 02:01 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:11:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data