Usable-Paint
0x3cb1a5cc9d37777df12ca49f65e83f9bb7974d5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-16.0K
Realised
$11.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.96
$1.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
7950 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
5336 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
4985 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-487.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
581 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-116.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.71Mar 21, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.09Mar 21, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$2.03Mar 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$2.00Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.17Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$35.35Jan 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.28Jan 10, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$50.69Jan 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.12Jan 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19.14Jan 10, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.68Jan 10, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $111.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".