Improbable-Calm
0x3cb2d9840d028429b8027d55531f243de7805b2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-587.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
30470 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-399.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
6538 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.69
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
934 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.70
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$400.00Feb 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$32.69Feb 10, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$46.70Jan 31, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$8.47Jan 30, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $117.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.