Bland-Tolerant
0x3cba4213abd0ab75955556f625270c06c99586c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$120.39
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
104 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$102.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 21?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.33
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.29
$0.01
- NO
Will Instants, an Instagram app be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.28
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.28
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $35.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.