Soggy-Arm
0x3cbeb1deb2cc84b256a7f2c56ba46cdc6eaa106b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.55
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$3.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.55
$-0.15
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
16000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
8292 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Netanyahu out by 2025?
3268 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-163.41
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
2115 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-288.04
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
2045 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.89
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
2000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
2000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-420.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
2000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?$3.50Apr 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?$3.66Apr 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.72Apr 13, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.79Apr 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?$2.46Apr 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?$2.82Apr 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$30.92Apr 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$94.26Apr 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43.34Apr 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$5.32Apr 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$5.50Apr 13, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 6, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $184.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".