Neglected-Marten
0x3cd262d91ba384a278741bb4697018bd630677ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$25.54
Total PnL
$-55.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
12 shares @ 48.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$12.33
$6.33
- NO
Will Trump launch an NFT before July?
5 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
US-EU trade deal before June?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Trump trade deal before June?
26 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade deal before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill courts block Trump's tariffs before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?$1.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test before June?$1.00May 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$1.00May 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Yemen before June?$1.00May 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$1.00May 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?$11.00May 4, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00May 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$1.00May 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch an NFT before July?$5.00May 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$1.00May 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips before August?$1.00May 4, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?$5.00May 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?$1.00May 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump trade deal before June?$5.00May 4, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".