Concrete-Questionnaire
0x3ce38fe0e6132fe4b1b953303486f6384629f388
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-236.64
Realised
$-33.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
3100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
2724 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.44
- NO
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
656 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-44.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
120 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
103 shares @ 89.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-92.51
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
35 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 2, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14.41Mar 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.63Mar 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$4.85Mar 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$0.86Mar 1, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$8.50Mar 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$0.02Mar 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$5.92Mar 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$28.00Mar 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$29.52Mar 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$44.28Mar 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44.27Mar 1, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 28, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44.27Feb 26, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$44.00Feb 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$28.98Jan 21, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.