Tense-Target
0x3ce41bcbd021c4bdf7eb0ec965fcd22d2a4f3a52
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$5.05
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$21.00
$1.68
- NO
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?
21 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$21.00
$1.89
- NO
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?
18 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$18.00
$1.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?$19.37Jul 3, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?$19.16Jun 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?$16.42Jun 18, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-21.5)$10.00Jun 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-21.5)$9.42Jun 10, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)$20.00Jun 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMClube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5$21.00Jun 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)$18.44May 29, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYClube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5$18.96May 24, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMStade de Reims vs. Red Star FC: O/U 4.5$0.00May 24, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStade de Reims vs. Red Star FC: O/U 4.5$9.90Apr 18, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 5,000 and 5,500?$154.00Apr 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 5,500 and 6,000?$0.00Apr 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 6,500 and 7,000?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be greater than 8,000?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 6,000 and 6,500?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be less than 5,000?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 7,500 and 8,000?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 7,000 and 7,500?$0.00Apr 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 29?$13.00Mar 30, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $249.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.