Instructive-Overshoot
0x3ce7a984a50efcb858e2d4340cbad8ceee5f5b5f
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
149
Open notional
$130.98
Total PnL
$-776.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?
102 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$100.06
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.83
$7.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.53
$7.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$4.97
$4.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$4.52
$4.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.79
$1.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.66
$1.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.93
$0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.78
$0.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 8?
30 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONBitcoin price on May 8?$30.123d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$101.623d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$29.963d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 26?$131.968d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 26?$131.4712d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$131.4613d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$130.9620d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$131.1920d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$131.0724d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$130.9924d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$130.7433d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$130.6033d ago
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?$130.6038d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$130.3438d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26?$28.0038d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?$102.2638d ago
- CONVERSIONBitcoin price on March 26?$102.2641d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26?$27.8341d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26?$76.4941d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26?$24.7341d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $147.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 71d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".