Loud-Clinic
0x3cea2e39c5b002a45dbe33f6b117133c9ea2e48e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$572.70
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$319.19
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
600 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$572.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
5720 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?
1425 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
1141 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
526 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-69.79
- NO
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
473 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
456 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-219.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
363 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
275 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-227.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
251 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$116.32Jul 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$114.05Jul 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$12.95Jul 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$12.43Jul 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$12.07Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$12.00Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.60Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$3.78Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$13.96Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$12.34Jul 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.51Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.86Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.50Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.44Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$3.21Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.81Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$116.33Jul 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$14.71Jul 14, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.26Jul 14, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.