Haunting-Manipulation
0x3cef9ab51d5113705eccbf7723cd68c4c6b193ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
119
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.67
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 30?
526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 30?
526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 7?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on February 8?
256 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 30?
206 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 6?
206 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 4?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C or higher on February 7?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 4?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on February 8?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$9.44Mar 31, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 4?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -8°C or below on February 7?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or higher on February 3?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 30?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 30?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 30?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 30?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 30?$0.00Mar 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?$5.71Mar 5, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 2?$2.02Mar 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?$2.00Mar 3, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 3?$2.00Mar 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?$2.00Mar 2, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 1?$2.02Mar 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?$2.00Mar 2, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".