Deficient-Band
0x3cf20fc1c344a6ea324880bf678a0e379e8fa57e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$6.21
Total PnL
$-28.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.01Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.11Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?$1.00Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?$1.00Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.01Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?$1.01Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?$1.05Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.09Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.09Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.17Dec 11, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".