Firsthand-Theism
0x3cf3cb12ac86e4b19624b912ab15f8296a9f2ccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 24-31?
602 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
90 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
70 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 24-31?$1.10Jan 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the second most seats in the next German election?$1.40Dec 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.21Nov 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.09Nov 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.08Nov 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.07Nov 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.08Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.04Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$3.77Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$5.66Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$6.81Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$10.22Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".