Flat-Creator
0x3cfda9c54252469e2ff2552ab22ea7dd61d75d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$120.53
Total PnL
$62.16
Realised
$81.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?
51 shares @ 81.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$38.73
$-2.82
- YES
Will the announcers say "Choke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?
30 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.20
$1.22
- YES
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?
19 shares @ 84.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$13.20
$-2.76
- YES
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?
30 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.05
$-1.35
- YES
Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?
16 shares @ 59.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.11
$-1.09
- YES
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.275B?
24 shares @ 69.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$7.87
$-8.84
- NO
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
9 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in July?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.70
$0.20
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
62 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.1¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$5.64
$-0.68
- NO
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.96
$-1.00
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$3.18Jul 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$6.65Jul 11, 06:02 UTC
- MERGEWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$100.30Jul 11, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$94.80Jul 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$9.93Jul 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.08Jul 11, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$92.99Jul 11, 05:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$5.00Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$2.56Jul 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$2.65Jul 11, 05:17 UTC
- MERGEWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$11.55Jul 11, 05:06 UTC
- MERGEWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$5.00Jul 11, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$2.20Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$12.15Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$6.71Jul 11, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$5.19Jul 11, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$14.40Jul 11, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$93.36Jul 11, 04:05 UTC
- MERGEWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$100.30Jul 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$9.93Jul 11, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $23.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.