Jaded-Intervenor
0x3d10df4b1705fb449e7a0a72fd78f73607615551
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$7.74
Total PnL
$-43.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.70
$1.70
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.66
$1.66
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?$1.00Sep 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?$1.00Sep 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Sep 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Sep 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Sep 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Sep 18, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.49Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$0.00Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$2.70Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$2.86Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in August?$5.36Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?$34.48Sep 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$2.50Sep 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in August?$3.00Aug 2, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense beat Mamelodi?$10.00Jun 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" again in June?$1.00Jun 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before August?$1.00Jun 25, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".