Calm-Philanthropy
0x3d1519475f5e399e2bb4eaf3be0e5e2e2d13f76d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.50
Total PnL
$-481.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
9 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$8.50
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 13?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 8?
4514 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.51
- CAPITALS
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
800 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-392.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$8.41Feb 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 13?$5.00Feb 13, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 15?$5.00Feb 13, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 13?$5.00Feb 13, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 13?$5.00Feb 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 15?$5.00Dec 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 13?$4.99Dec 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 13?$5.00Dec 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Dec 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Capitals$392.00Dec 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$30.00Dec 10, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$450.00Dec 9, 05:00 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$450.00Dec 8, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$397.60Dec 8, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Dec 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Dec 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 8?$4.51Dec 7, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$397.60Dec 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Dec 7, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Dec 7, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $87.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.