0x3d1c8f9991d839194a0dc304f25331d15d31f112
0x3d1c8f9991d839194a0dc304f25331d15d31f112
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.87
Total PnL
$-18.12
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
11 shares @ 38.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.87
$6.72
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
110 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
21 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
18 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 9, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$1.04Dec 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$1.25Nov 18, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.25Nov 18, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.22Nov 18, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Nov 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.12Nov 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.12Nov 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Nov 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Nov 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Nov 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.35Nov 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Nov 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.35Nov 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.02Nov 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.50Nov 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$7.50Nov 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$7.50Nov 11, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.