Interesting-Flatboat
0x3d322396ab1447ffa9d2974f5c61f8d834caa2a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-440.14
Win rate
0%
114 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?
1263 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-535.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1081 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
1033 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
960 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
950 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
837 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-282.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET
819 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-259.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
801 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-129.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
800 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.09Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$69.50Aug 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$3.21Aug 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.18Aug 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.20Aug 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.20Aug 18, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$176.90Aug 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.77Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.59Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.54Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.55Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.55Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$52.39Aug 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$52.31Aug 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.69Aug 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.67Aug 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.67Aug 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.63Aug 18, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 114 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
114 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 114 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.