Supportive-Dollar
0x3d3d20c4cf53230c838c24c3fb6dc6aa7f6faea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.87
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 5+ times during earnings call?
30 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fleet" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
20 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.90
Recent activity
- REWARD$11.99Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$48.44Jul 23, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$50.00Jul 23, 01:05 UTC
- REWARD$13.64Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.08Jul 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.10Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.31Jul 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$48.60Jul 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$9.21Jul 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$36.84Jul 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$46.41Jul 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$46.50Jul 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$0.54Jul 22, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$0.75Jul 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 22?$18.40Jul 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 22?$18.60Jul 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 22?$18.60Jul 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$46.80Jul 22, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$46.85Jul 22, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s remarks not air?$0.58Jul 22, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.