Excellent-Moat
0x3d45de0f2024e8325baadce97d17d6a6c3417b58
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-263.44
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.75
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on December 11?
217 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-62.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 11?
151 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-27.18
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
80 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-64.10
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?
35 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- HEAT
Kings vs. Heat
30 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.56
- WIZARDS
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Kings$4.20Dec 22, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 17?$4.69Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Nuggets$10.00Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 19?$20.00Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Mavericks$47.91Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Thunder$50.00Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Pelicans$3.39Dec 19, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Timberwolves$30.00Dec 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Mavericks$20.00Dec 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Mavericks$20.00Dec 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Pelicans$20.00Dec 19, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 19?$5.40Dec 19, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 19?$5.40Dec 19, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Nuggets$7.00Dec 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Thunder$45.50Dec 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 17?$3.00Dec 17, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?$10.00Dec 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?$4.00Dec 15, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?$4.00Dec 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 15?$8.94Dec 15, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".