Unfortunate-Thorn
0x3d464cd8efe8cf5c2ff73907098174a879b50450
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.32
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
9 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.01May 15, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.03May 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.99May 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.00May 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.25May 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.04May 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.03May 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.02May 3, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.00May 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.13May 3, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.01May 3, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.03Apr 21, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.18Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.02Apr 19, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.20Apr 19, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.16Apr 19, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".